Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo

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What the chances were worth

The scoreline says 3–1; by chance quality the match ran 2.00–0.76.

The brain read

Moreirense created the better chances — the xG read 2–0.8 and the shot count agreed (11–9, 5–2 on target). Maritimo held 62% of the ball. Moreirense's finishing ran hot — 3 from 2 xG, 5 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 3–1 reads fair.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.