RED Star FC 93 1–0 Metz
What the chances were worth
The brain read
RED Star FC 93 carried the greater threat — shots 17–11, 7–1 on target, 11–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
- 2 T. Magnin (D)
- 3 M. Huard (D)
- 4 E. Zidane (D)
- 10 S. Khaoui (M)
- 11 K. Cissé (M)
- 16 G. Poussin (G)
- 17 S. Renel (M)
- 19 I. Halifa (M)
- 20 D. Durivaux (D)
- 23 J. Ikanga A Ngele (M)
- 91 K. Cabral (F)
Bench: J. Escartin, Cheick Konate, Idrissa Sabaly, G. Trani, G. Kyeremeh, D. Durand, B. Danger, Yanis Benchaouch Marty
Metz 4-2-3-1
- 1 J. Fischer (G)
- 2 M. Colin (D)
- 4 U. Mboula (D)
- 8 J. Deminguet (M)
- 9 G. Abuashvili (M)
- 10 T. Savanier (M)
- 11 P. Fall (F)
- 18 B. Munongo (M)
- 21 J. Pandore (M)
- 42 C. Devenish (D)
- 70 B. Sarr (D)
Bench: A. Agne Ba, N. Mbala, Abdourahmane Mbodj, N. Mendy, F. Miguel, J. Ruiz, Ibou Sané, B. Song, P. Sy
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance RED Star FC 93 or draw | 1.39 | 67.0% | +2.3 pts |
| Double chance Metz or draw | 1.52 | 61.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.5% | +0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — RED Star FC 93 | 1.73 | 54.0% | +3.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Metz | 2.04 | 46.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 73.9% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 50.8% | +1.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.03 | 30.4% | +1.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.66 | 55.9% | +1.1 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 over 1.5 team goals | 2.23 | 41.9% | +3.0 pts |
| Metz over 1.5 team goals | 2.44 | 38.3% | -0.6 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | +6.1 pts |
| Metz clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.08 · 1-0 8.12 · 2-1 8.93 · 0-1 9.14 · 1-2 10.00
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-14 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).