FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga · Wed 16 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC

Barcelona 7–2 Racing Santander

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What the chances were worth

Barcelona
6.74
expected goals (xG)
Racing Santander
1.98
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 7–2; by chance quality the match ran 6.74–1.98.

The brain read

Barcelona created the better chances — the xG read 6.7–2 and the shot count agreed (30–5, 9–3 on target). Barcelona got into the box far more often (23 shots inside it to 5) and Barcelona held 69% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the 7–2 reads fair.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Barcelona
Racing Santander
69%
Ball Possession
31%
30
Total Shots
5
9
Shots on Goal
3
15
Shots off Goal
2
6
Blocked Shots
0
23
Shots inside box
5
7
Shots outside box
0
18
Corner Kicks
0
3
Offsides
2
646
Total passes
288
589
Passes accurate
226
10
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
12
Free Kicks
9

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Barcelona
90%
market implied · price 1.07 · opened 88%
Draw
7%
market implied · price 14.32 · opened 8%
Racing Santander
4%
market implied · price 26.91 · opened 4%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Barcelona or draw1.0195.9%-0.1 pts
Double chance Racing Santander or draw9.869.9%-1.1 pts
Double chance either team1.0394.3%+1.2 pts
Draw no bet — Barcelona1.0294.2%+0.0 pts
Draw no bet — Racing Santander16.605.8%-0.0 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.0294.2%+1.3 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.0886.8%+4.2 pts
Over 3.5 goals1.2873.4%+5.7 pts
Both teams to score1.6855.4%+3.5 pts
Barcelona over 1.5 team goals1.0490.1%+1.7 pts
Racing Santander over 1.5 team goals4.2122.3%+3.3 pts
Barcelona clean sheet2.0046.4%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 4-0 9.23 · 3-0 9.74 · 5-0 10.86 · 4-1 10.92 · 3-1 11.70

Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.

How to read this table

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.