Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Sevilla
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.14–0.73.
The brain read
Sevilla created the better chances — the xG read 0.1–0.7 and the shot count agreed (4–11, 3–6 on target). Sevilla got into the box far more often (5 shots inside it to 1). On the balance of chances, the 0–1 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
- 2 Adrià Alti (D)
- 7 P. Aubameyang (F)
- 10 Peke (M)
- 13 Leo Román (G)
- 14 Riki Rodríguez (M)
- 15 Miguel Loureiro (D)
- 16 L. Amatucci (M)
- 17 Angeliño (D)
- 19 Luismi Cruz (M)
- 20 J. Giménez (D)
- 32 B. Nsongo (F)
Bench: Diego Villares, Marc Casadó, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede, Álvaro Fernández, Jonathan Asp Jensen, David Mella, Ximo Navarro, L. Noubi, G. Quagliata, Mario Soriano, Adama Traoré
Sevilla 4-4-2
- 1 O. Vlachodimos (G)
- 2 Juan Iglesias (D)
- 4 Kike Salas (D)
- 5 Andrés Castrín (D)
- 6 L. Agoumé (M)
- 17 G. Suazo (D)
- 18 Jon Guridi (F)
- 19 L. Stassin (F)
- 20 Félix Correia (M)
- 24 Y. Fofana (M)
- 30 M. Sierra (M)
Bench: José Ángel Carmona, Julio Díaz del Romo, C. Ejuke, Peque Fernández, Alfon González, Fran González, G. Kochorashvili, Iker Ortín Muñoz, Isaac, R. Ure, Marcão, Manu Bueno
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Deportivo La Coruna or draw | 1.39 | 67.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Double chance Sevilla or draw | 1.51 | 62.6% | +0.9 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.35 | 69.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Deportivo La Coruna | 1.74 | 53.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sevilla | 2.02 | 46.2% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 68.1% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 43.0% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.84 | 24.3% | +0.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.85 | 50.6% | +1.8 pts |
| Deportivo La Coruna over 1.5 team goals | 2.58 | 36.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Sevilla over 1.5 team goals | 2.84 | 33.0% | +2.2 pts |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.63 · 1-0 7.15 · 0-1 7.72 · 0-0 7.83 · 2-1 9.42
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-16 16:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).