Malaga
v Villarreal
The model's read
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Malaga or draw | 1.84 | 51.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Double chance Villarreal or draw | 1.28 | 73.6% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Malaga | 2.62 | 35.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Villarreal | 1.44 | 64.5% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 79.0% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 58.3% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 37.5% | +0.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 60.1% | +0.5 pts |
| Malaga over 1.5 team goals | 2.56 | 36.6% | +0.3 pts |
| Villarreal over 1.5 team goals | 1.76 | 53.3% | +0.4 pts |
| Malaga clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | +0.0 pts |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.03 · 1-2 8.10 · 0-1 9.26 · 0-2 10.48 · 2-2 11.53
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-16 08:02 UTC. Refreshed through the final two hours before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Availability and rotation
Malaga: 5 recorded — M. Diarra (Missing Fixture), J. Lobete (Missing Fixture), D. Murillo (Missing Fixture), A. Ochoa (Missing Fixture), F. Calero (Questionable)
Villarreal: 1 recorded — J. Foyth (Questionable)
Rotation risk — Malaga: another match 2d after (2026-09-20).
Rotation risk — Villarreal: another match 2d after (2026-09-20).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Malaga
- Malaga are winless in their last 5 league games (D3 L2).
Villarreal
- Villarreal have lost their last 3 league games.
- Villarreal are winless in their last 5 league games (D2 L3).
- Villarreal have conceded in each of their last 19 league games.
- Villarreal have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D4 L2).
Players in form
- Alfonso Herrero has made 19 saves in 5 league games this season.
- N. Pépé has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Gerard Moreno has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- P. Gulácsi has made 10 saves in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Malaga
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | D | 1-1 | Celta Vigo (A) | 0.4 - 1.9 |
| 06 Sep | D | 0-0 | Levante (H) | 1.5 - 0.8 |
| 30 Aug | L | 0-4 | Real Madrid (A) | 0.7 - 2.3 |
| 24 Aug | D | 1-1 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 2.0 - 1.1 |
| 19 Aug | L | 0-2 | Atletico Madrid (A) | 0.2 - 0.8 |
| 20 Jun | W | 2-1 | Almeria (A) | — |
Recent form — Villarreal
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | L | 1-2 | Real Betis (H) | 1.9 - 3.5 |
| 08 Sep | L | 2-3 | Borussia Dortmund (A) | 1.3 - 2.8 |
| 05 Sep | L | 2-3 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 1.1 - 0.8 |
| 28 Aug | L | 0-1 | Alaves (A) | 1.3 - 0.8 |
| 23 Aug | D | 2-2 | Atletico Madrid (A) | 3.1 - 0.7 |
| 16 Aug | D | 2-2 | Racing Santander (A) | 0.9 - 2.0 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | La Liga | 2026/27 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 2–8 | DDLDL |
| Villarreal | La Liga | 2026/27 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 7–10 | LLLDD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-2-0 | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Villarreal | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-2-1 | 1.3 / 1.7 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Malaga 2 wins, 3 draws, Villarreal 5 wins — 1.8 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.