FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · Serie A · Fri 18 Sep 2026, 19:45 BST

Monza
v Sassuolo

← Back to the Fri 18 Sep board

The model's read

Not enough matches played yet this season for a model read on this fixture. It appears automatically once both sides pass the warm-up.

The market’s read

Monza
31%
market implied · price 3.00 · opened 32%
Draw
28%
market implied · price 3.42 · opened 28%
Sassuolo
41%
market implied · price 2.31 · opened 40%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Monza or draw1.6058.7%-1.6 pts
Double chance Sassuolo or draw1.3768.8%+1.1 pts
Double chance either team1.3072.4%+0.6 pts
Draw no bet — Monza2.1743.2%-1.9 pts
Draw no bet — Sassuolo1.6556.8%+1.9 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2575.1%+0.3 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.8452.0%+0.6 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.9831.6%+0.6 pts
Both teams to score1.6357.2%+0.4 pts
Monza over 1.5 team goals2.5237.2%-0.9 pts
Sassuolo over 1.5 team goals2.1144.4%+1.1 pts
Monza clean sheet4.0023.4%+0.0 pts
Sassuolo clean sheet3.4027.7%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.21 · 0-1 8.36 · 1-2 8.75 · 1-0 9.88 · 2-1 10.08

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-16 08:03 UTC. Refreshed through the final two hours before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

Sassuolo

  • Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
  • Sassuolo have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D2 L4).
  • Both teams have scored in each of Sassuolo's last 4 league games.
  • Sassuolo have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.

Players in form

  • Gustavo Varela has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
  • Ricardo Mangas has 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 league games this season.
  • Arijanet Murić has made 17 saves in 4 league games this season.
  • Vasilije Adžić has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form — Monza

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
13 SepL2-3Lecce (A)2.7 - 1.1
06 SepD1-1Parma (A)1.7 - 0.7
29 AugL2-3Udinese (H)1.7 - 1.0
22 AugL1-4Inter (A)1.1 - 1.2
29 MayL0-2Catanzaro (H)0.6 - 1.2
24 MayW2-0Catanzaro (A)0.7 - 0.8

Recent form — Sassuolo

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
13 SepW3-2Juventus (H)0.7 - 1.0
06 SepD2-2Bologna (A)1.6 - 1.9
29 AugW2-1Torino (H)1.9 - 1.3
23 AugL1-2Atalanta (A)2.7 - 0.7
24 MayL0-1Parma (A)0.9 - 1.1
17 MayL2-3Lecce (H)2.0 - 0.9

Chance quality, most recent season

Monza
+0.83
xG diff/game · 1.81 for, 0.99 against
Sassuolo
+0.51
xG diff/game · 1.71 for, 1.20 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
MonzaSerie A2026/2718410.256–11LDLL
SassuoloSerie A2026/279471.758–7WDWL

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
MonzahomeSerie A2026/270-0-12.0 / 3.00
SassuoloawaySerie A2026/270-1-11.5 / 2.00

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

Last 5 meetings: Monza 3 wins, 2 draws, Sassuolo 0 wins — 2.2 goals a game on average.

Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.