PAU 2–0 Dunkerque
What the chances were worth
The brain read
PAU carried the greater threat — shots 22–7, 10–3 on target, 15–3 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. PAU held 67% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
PAU 5-3-2
- 1 B. Maubleu (G)
- 2 T. Pouilly (D)
- 6 C. Fall (M)
- 9 B. Leye (F)
- 18 J. Sebas (M)
- 19 T. Saettel (F)
- 21 J. Benet (M)
- 23 A. Briançon (D)
- 29 G. Paquiez (D)
- 88 A. Bamba (D)
- 97 A. Abdallah (D)
Bench: S. Basse, B. Brahimi, A. Dodote, L. Gadegbeku, A. Lefebvre, Abdoulaye Mbaye, L. Rajot, E. Salles, M. Tourraine
Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
- 6 J. Morel (M)
- 7 K. Ayari (M)
- 9 G. Robail (F)
- 11 E. Prutsev (M)
- 18 Théna Massock (M)
- 19 S. Keita (M)
- 22 V. Mayela (D)
- 24 L. Vallier (D)
- 26 Opa Sanganté (D)
- 27 A. Linguet (D)
- 73 Moha Airam (G)
Bench: Abner, M. Prévot, Noah Nemorin, E. Mayilla, B. Lagae, L. Loussilaho, P. M. Dieng, Franck Atoen, O. Touré
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance PAU or draw | 1.35 | 69.0% | +0.9 pts |
| Double chance Dunkerque or draw | 1.59 | 58.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.4% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — PAU | 1.64 | 57.1% | +2.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dunkerque | 2.18 | 42.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 75.2% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 52.0% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.96 | 31.6% | +0.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.63 | 57.0% | +0.4 pts |
| PAU over 1.5 team goals | 2.05 | 45.5% | +1.2 pts |
| Dunkerque over 1.5 team goals | 2.51 | 37.2% | -0.7 pts |
| PAU clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +1.4 pts |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.23 · 1-0 8.46 · 2-1 8.72 · 0-1 10.09 · 1-2 10.39
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-18 17:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).