Rodez 3–4 Nancy
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Nancy carried the greater threat — shots 10–24, 5–8 on target, 7–19 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Rodez 4-4-2
- 3 R. Lipinski (D)
- 4 M. Magnin (D)
- 6 J. Mendes (M)
- 9 N. Nsingi (F)
- 10 M. Saka (M)
- 11 M. Touho (F)
- 15 E. Jean-Lambert (M)
- 24 L. Quenabio (D)
- 28 S. Luyambula Biwa (D)
- 29 Antonin Cartillier (M)
- 30 E. Crombez (G)
Bench: O. Joly, C. Roubiou, M. Essimi Ateba, L. Margueron, K. Nagera, K. Nsona, D. Pavlović, R. Ponti, L. Vungele Vangi
Nancy 4-4-2
- 1 E. Basilio (G)
- 4 N. Fernandez-Veliz (D)
- 5 P. Meïssa Ba (F)
- 6 K. Kebe (M)
- 8 W. Bouabdelli (M)
- 9 I. Housni (F)
- 12 El Hadari (M)
- 21 E. Mendy (D)
- 44 E. Tacafred (D)
- 70 N. Kandil (M)
- 77 Y. Nahounou (D)
Bench: Mamadou Fofana II, Z. Fdaouch, C. El Hansar, A. Dabasse, I. Cisse, J. Gélin, G. Lembet, N. Saint-Ruf, L. Ndenbe
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Rodez or draw | 1.37 | 67.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Double chance Nancy or draw | 1.56 | 59.9% | +2.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Rodez | 1.70 | 54.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nancy | 2.07 | 45.1% | +2.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 75.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 51.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.01 | 31.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.63 | 56.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Rodez over 1.5 team goals | 2.15 | 43.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Nancy over 1.5 team goals | 2.43 | 38.4% | +0.4 pts |
| Rodez clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Nancy clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +1.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.34 · 1-0 8.48 · 2-1 8.81 · 0-1 9.58 · 1-2 10.08
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-18 17:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).