Boulogne 1–2 Nantes
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Nantes carried the greater threat — shots 10–11, 2–2 on target, 3–9 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Boulogne 3-4-3
- 10 A. Hbouch (F)
- 11 N. Fatar (F)
- 14 J. Bultel (M)
- 17 B. Besic (F)
- 18 D. Thiam (D)
- 19 N. Binet (M)
- 20 T. Brusco (D)
- 25 A. Kerriou (D)
- 29 M. Mion (M)
- 64 T. Epailly (M)
- 99 Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu (G)
Bench: J. Boyer, S. Duflos, L. Etonde, X. Lenogue, J. Martin, A. Nassiri, A. Pinot, A. Platret, M. Soumah
Nantes 4-1-4-1
- 1 M. Dupé (G)
- 4 S. Sow (D)
- 5 L. Perrin (D)
- 13 F. Doucouré (M)
- 20 M. Cafaro (M)
- 24 F. Guilbert (D)
- 26 R. Hachem (M)
- 27 T. Robinet (F)
- 28 I. Sissoko (M)
- 37 I. Ganago (M)
- 44 B. Pierret (D)
Bench: T. Tati, D. Assoumani, Louis Leroux, J. Lepenant, A. Joujou, A. Cherni, P. Carlgren, K. Amian, W. Younoussa
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Boulogne or draw | 1.62 | 57.6% | +1.9 pts |
| Double chance Nantes or draw | 1.30 | 72.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Boulogne | 2.20 | 42.1% | +4.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nantes | 1.60 | 57.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 69.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 44.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.78 | 24.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 | 50.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Boulogne over 1.5 team goals | 3.16 | 29.4% | +0.1 pts |
| Nantes over 1.5 team goals | 2.31 | 40.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
| Nantes clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | -2.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.86 · 0-1 6.78 · 0-0 8.14 · 1-0 8.62 · 1-2 9.06
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 11:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).