Cadiz 1–2 Girona
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.15–1.17.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.1–1.2, shots 15–15 with 5–7 on target. Girona's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1.2 xG, 7 of 15 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–2 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Cadiz 4-2-3-1
- 3 Sergio Arribas (D)
- 4 Javi Castro (D)
- 5 M. Doué (M)
- 6 Manu Fernández (D)
- 9 Álvaro García (F)
- 10 Javi Ontiveros (M)
- 13 Jokin Ezkieta (G)
- 18 Jandro Orellana (M)
- 20 Borja Vazquez (M)
- 24 Ibon Sánchez (M)
- 27 J. Diaz Peregrina (D)
Bench: Antonio Cordero, E. Aghama, David Gil, Urko Izeta, V. Kopotun, B. Kovačević, A. Moueffek, G. Petit, M. Rivera, Damián Rodríguez, D. A. Zarate Hidalgo, Beñat de Jesús
Girona 4-4-2
- 4 Javier Boñar (D)
- 5 David López (D)
- 6 D. van de Beek (F)
- 8 Fran Beltrán (M)
- 11 Álex Moreno (D)
- 13 P. Gazzaniga (G)
- 19 V. Vanat (F)
- 22 Y. Asprilla (M)
- 23 Carles Pérez (M)
- 24 I. Gonzalez (M)
- 38 Holmes Zamorano (D)
Bench: M. Furtado, Mohammed Hamony, L. Kourouma, V. Krapyvtsov, Iván Morante, A. Mumin, Portu, Sergi Puig, Oleksandr Pishchur, C. Stuani, Alejandro Francés, Javier González Diaz
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Cadiz or draw | 1.74 | 53.7% | +2.0 pts |
| Double chance Girona or draw | 1.27 | 73.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cadiz | 2.59 | 35.9% | +1.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Girona | 1.45 | 64.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 72.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 48.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.26 | 28.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.74 | 53.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Cadiz over 1.5 team goals | 3.07 | 30.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Girona over 1.5 team goals | 2.04 | 45.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Cadiz clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +1.7 pts |
| Girona clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.14 · 0-1 6.98 · 1-2 8.08 · 0-0 9.12 · 0-2 9.16
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).