Guingamp 1–3 RED Star FC 93
What the chances were worth
The brain read
RED Star FC 93 carried the greater threat — shots 11–24, 3–6 on target, 8–11 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Guingamp or draw | 1.40 | 66.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Double chance RED Star FC 93 or draw | 1.54 | 60.6% | +1.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Guingamp | 1.72 | 54.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — RED Star FC 93 | 2.02 | 46.0% | +1.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 76.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 53.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 33.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.60 | 58.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Guingamp over 1.5 team goals | 2.10 | 44.6% | -1.2 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 over 1.5 team goals | 2.36 | 39.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | -1.4 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.35 · 2-1 9.08 · 1-0 9.20 · 1-2 9.96 · 0-1 10.10
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 11:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).