Metz 2–2 Saint Etienne
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Saint Etienne carried the greater threat — shots 10–12, 3–6 on target, 6–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Metz 4-2-3-1
- 1 J. Fischer (G)
- 3 F. Miguel (D)
- 5 J. Ruiz (D)
- 8 J. Deminguet (M)
- 9 G. Abuashvili (M)
- 10 T. Savanier (M)
- 11 P. Fall (F)
- 18 B. Munongo (M)
- 38 H. Kadamani (M)
- 42 C. Devenish (D)
- 70 B. Sarr (D)
Bench: U. Mboula, N. Mendy, A. Agne Ba, N. Mbala, I. Mohamed, J. Pandore, P. Sy, B. Song, Abdourahmane Mbodj
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
- 6 M. Bernauer (D)
- 7 I. Cardona (F)
- 8 T. Ballo (M)
- 10 J. Breum (M)
- 11 B. Old (M)
- 14 Á. Csongvai (M)
- 18 S. Nair (D)
- 20 A. Boakye (M)
- 23 K. Pedro (D)
- 26 J. Le Cardinal (D)
- 30 G. Larsonneur (G)
Bench: N. El Jamali, João Ferreira, N. Kasia Nkondo, Chico Lamba, Mamour Ndiaye, T. Svetlin, J. Duffus, Adam Baallal, Z. Davitashvili
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Metz or draw | 1.78 | 52.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Double chance Saint Etienne or draw | 1.27 | 73.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Metz | 2.56 | 36.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Saint Etienne | 1.45 | 63.8% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 77.9% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 55.8% | +1.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 34.8% | +1.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.59 | 58.3% | +0.3 pts |
| Metz over 1.5 team goals | 2.68 | 34.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Saint Etienne over 1.5 team goals | 1.82 | 51.2% | +1.5 pts |
| Metz clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.71 · 1-2 8.20 · 0-1 8.56 · 0-2 10.10 · 2-1 11.55
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 17:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).