Real Sociedad II 0–1 Mallorca
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.66–0.78.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.7–0.8, shots 10–9 with 2–1 on target. On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Real Sociedad II 4-4-2
- 1 Aitor Fraga (G)
- 3 Jon Balda (D)
- 5 K. Kita (D)
- 7 Dani Díaz (F)
- 8 Ibai Aguirre (M)
- 14 Tomás Carbonell (M)
- 16 Gorka Gorosabel (M)
- 17 Lander Astiazarán (M)
- 18 Gorka Carrera (F)
- 22 Rupérez (D)
- 29 Iker Ropero (D)
Bench: Andrews Adjabeng, A. Unax, Jon Eceizabarrena, Javier Soroeta, T. Folgado, Jon Garro, Unax Agote, A. Lebarbier, Arkaitz Mariezkurrena, Lander Olasagasti, J. Oleaga
Mallorca 4-4-2
- 1 Arnau Tenas (G)
- 7 Álex Sala (M)
- 8 Manu Morlanes (M)
- 10 Darder (M)
- 18 Fuentes (F)
- 20 Pablo Torre (F)
- 21 Raíllo (D)
- 22 A. Souhmahoro (D)
- 24 M. Valjent (D)
- 33 Adrian Liso (M)
- 34 M. Calatayud (D)
Bench: L. Bergström, A. Buksa, Josep Cerdà, Iván Cuéllar, Guille Fernández, Toni Lato, Alberto Moreno, John Nwankwo, Arnau Puigmal, Antoniu Roca, Zito Luvumbo, Antonio Sánchez
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Real Sociedad II or draw | 1.85 | 50.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Mallorca or draw | 1.25 | 75.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Real Sociedad II | 2.77 | 33.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Mallorca | 1.40 | 66.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 73.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 49.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.17 | 29.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.74 | 53.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Real Sociedad II over 1.5 team goals | 3.11 | 30.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Mallorca over 1.5 team goals | 1.92 | 48.6% | +0.4 pts |
| Real Sociedad II clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Mallorca clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.15 · 0-1 6.94 · 1-2 7.70 · 0-2 8.86 · 1-0 10.45
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).