Venezia 0–2 Lazio
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.88–1.60.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.9–1.6, shots 17–11 with 6–2 on target. Venezia got into the box far more often (10 shots inside it to 5). Venezia's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.9 xG despite 6 of 17 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–2 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Venezia 3-5-2
- 1 Filip Stanković (G)
- 2 Matias Moreno (D)
- 3 Joel Schingtienne (D)
- 10 John Yeboah (F)
- 14 Thierry Correia (M)
- 15 Juan Jesus (D)
- 18 Antoine Hainaut (M)
- 19 Simon Sohm (M)
- 21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason (M)
- 45 Akor Adams (F)
- 71 Kike Pérez (M)
Bench: Lorenzo Montipò, Rufai Mohammed, Ale Gomes, Redouane Halhal, Toni Fernández, Richie Sagrado, Kornel Lisman, Lorenzo Berardi, Lamine Fanne, Simone Panada, Albion Rrahmani, Lion Lauberbach
Lazio 4-3-3
- 10 Mattia Zaccagni (F)
- 14 Tijjani Noslin (F)
- 15 Romano Floriani Mussolini (D)
- 16 Davide Frattesi (M)
- 17 Nuno Tavares (D)
- 21 Reda Belahyane (M)
- 22 Matteo Cancellieri (F)
- 24 Kenneth Taylor (M)
- 25 Oliver Provstgaard (D)
- 35 Christos Mandas (G)
- 37 Josip Šutalo (D)
Bench: Davide Renzetti, Edoardo Motta, Diogo Leite, Danilho Doekhi, Alfonso Pedraza, Manuel Lazzari, Valerio Farcomeni, Danilo Cataldi, Federico Serra, Gustav Isaksen, Andrea Pinamonti, Albert Guðmundsson
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Venezia or draw | 1.77 | 53.6% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance Lazio or draw | 1.30 | 72.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 73.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Venezia | 2.49 | 37.3% | +0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Lazio | 1.48 | 62.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 77.7% | +2.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 55.5% | +2.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 35.4% | +2.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.59 | 58.6% | +2.1 pts |
| Venezia over 1.5 team goals | 2.63 | 35.8% | +2.1 pts |
| Lazio over 1.5 team goals | 1.86 | 50.7% | +1.0 pts |
| Venezia clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Lazio clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | -2.2 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.58 · 1-2 8.14 · 0-1 8.76 · 0-2 10.45 · 2-1 11.20
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).