AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Valladolid carried the greater threat — shots 12–11, 3–6 on target, 8–6 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance AD Ceuta FC or draw | 1.49 | 62.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Double chance Valladolid or draw | 1.41 | 66.2% | +1.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — AD Ceuta FC | 1.95 | 47.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Valladolid | 1.80 | 52.1% | +2.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 71.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 46.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 26.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 | 53.0% | -1.4 pts |
| AD Ceuta FC over 1.5 team goals | 2.58 | 36.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Valladolid over 1.5 team goals | 2.46 | 37.9% | -0.4 pts |
| AD Ceuta FC clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Valladolid clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.74 · 0-1 7.52 · 1-0 7.99 · 1-2 8.89 · 0-0 9.01
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-20 08:02 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | AD Ceuta FC | 0-3 | Valladolid |
| 15 Aug 25 | Valladolid | 3-0 | AD Ceuta FC |