Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 14:00 BST
Auxerre
v Stade Brestois 29
The model's read
Auxerre
37%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Stade Brestois 29
35%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Auxerre or draw | 64.9% |
| Double chance Stade Brestois 29 or draw | 62.9% |
| Double chance either team | 72.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.2% |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Auxerre over 1.5 team goals | 41.1% |
| Stade Brestois 29 over 1.5 team goals | 39.6% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 25.6% |
| Stade Brestois 29 clean sheet | 24.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.2% · 2-1 8.5% · 1-2 8.2% · 1-0 7.6% · 0-0 7.4%
Model readiness. Auxerre has played 4 league games this season, Stade Brestois 29 4 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Stade Brestois 29
- Stade Brestois 29 have conceded in each of their last 13 league games.
Players in form
- M. Diop has made 16 saves in 4 league games this season.
- C. Archer has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
- K. Doumbia has scored 4 goals in 4 league games this season.
- E. Selvik has made 12 saves in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Auxerre
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Nice (H) | — |
| 04 Sep | L | 1-3 | Lyon (A) | 0.7 - 2.9 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-3 | Angers (H) | 1.3 - 1.6 |
| 22 Aug | L | 2-5 | Lens (A) | 1.8 - 4.5 |
| 17 May | W | 2-0 | Lille (A) | 0.5 - 1.7 |
| 10 May | W | 2-1 | Nice (H) | 0.8 - 1.3 |
Recent form — Stade Brestois 29
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | L | 0-1 | Paris Saint Germain (H) | — |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Le Havre (A) | 2.4 - 2.0 |
| 29 Aug | D | 2-2 | Toulouse (H) | 2.0 - 1.1 |
| 22 Aug | D | 2-2 | Le Mans (A) | 1.6 - 0.7 |
| 17 May | D | 1-1 | Angers (H) | 1.6 - 0.7 |
| 13 May | L | 1-2 | Strasbourg (H) | 3.1 - 2.0 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Auxerre
-1.72
xG diff/game · 1.26 for, 2.98 against
Stade Brestois 29
+0.73
xG diff/game · 2.01 for, 1.28 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0.75 | 5–11 | WLLL |
| Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1.25 | 6–6 | LWDD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 2.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Auxerre 2 wins, 3 draws, Stade Brestois 29 5 wins — 2.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 26 | Auxerre | 3-0 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 04 Jan 26 | Stade Brestois 29 | 2-0 | Auxerre |