Full time · Primeira Liga · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC
Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia
What the chances were worth
Estoril
0.95
expected goals (xG)
Casa Pia
2.17
expected goals (xG)
The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.95–2.17.
The brain read
The xG read 0.9–2.2 in Casa Pia's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 14–11 overall and 6–3 on target went Estoril's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
Estoril
Casa Pia
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots off Goal
7
2
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots inside box
7
7
Shots outside box
4
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
394
Total passes
346
301
Passes accurate
271
7
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
11
Free Kicks
7
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.