Frosinone 2–0 Como
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.96–2.20.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 2–2.2, shots 22–27 with 6–8 on target. Como held 65% of the ball. Como's finishing let them down — 0 from 2.2 xG despite 8 of 27 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Frosinone or draw | 2.53 | 37.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Double chance Como or draw | 1.13 | 83.6% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.19 | 79.2% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Frosinone | 4.56 | 20.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Como | 1.18 | 79.5% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 83.3% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 64.3% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.15 | 44.3% | +0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 59.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Frosinone over 1.5 team goals | 3.10 | 30.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Como over 1.5 team goals | 1.41 | 66.2% | +0.2 pts |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 9.00 | 10.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Como clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-2 7.82 · 1-1 8.71 · 0-2 9.03 · 0-1 9.65 · 1-3 10.27
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-20 08:03 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).