Fixture · Premier League · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 16:30 BST
Fulham
v Manchester United
The model's read
Fulham
36%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Manchester United
37%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Fulham or draw | 63.0% |
| Double chance Manchester United or draw | 63.8% |
| Double chance either team | 73.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Fulham over 1.5 team goals | 43.3% |
| Manchester United over 1.5 team goals | 43.8% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 22.6% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 23.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.5% · 1-2 8.4% · 2-1 8.4% · 0-1 6.6% · 1-0 6.5%
Model readiness. Fulham has played 4 league games this season, Manchester United 5 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Fulham
- Fulham are winless in their last 4 league games (D1 L3).
Players in form
- Joshua King has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- B. Leno has made 11 saves in 4 league games this season.
- Bruno Fernandes has scored 3 goals in 4 league games this season.
- B. Mbeumo has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- S. Lammens has made 10 saves in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Fulham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Liverpool (A) | — |
| 05 Sep | L | 2-3 | Crystal Palace (H) | 3.1 - 2.0 |
| 30 Aug | L | 0-1 | Sunderland (A) | 0.9 - 1.8 |
| 24 Aug | L | 2-3 | Chelsea (H) | 1.3 - 1.7 |
| 24 May | W | 2-0 | Newcastle (H) | 1.8 - 0.3 |
| 17 May | D | 1-1 | Wolves (A) | 1.6 - 1.4 |
Recent form — Manchester United
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | L | 0-1 | Manchester City (H) | — |
| 10 Sep | W | 4-0 | Sabah FA (H) | — |
| 06 Sep | D | 2-2 | Everton (A) | 0.7 - 1.0 |
| 30 Aug | W | 5-2 | Ipswich (H) | 4.6 - 2.0 |
| 22 Aug | L | 0-2 | Hull City (A) | 1.5 - 1.3 |
| 24 May | W | 3-0 | Brighton (A) | 1.7 - 0.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Fulham
-0.01
xG diff/game · 1.78 for, 1.80 against
Manchester United
+0.84
xG diff/game · 2.27 for, 1.43 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Premier League | 2026/27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 4–7 | DLLL |
| Manchester United | Premier League | 2026/27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 7–7 | LDWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 0 |
| Manchester United | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 0-1-1 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Fulham 1 wins, 2 draws, Manchester United 7 wins — 2.5 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 26 | Manchester United | 3-2 | Fulham |
| 24 Aug 25 | Fulham | 1-1 | Manchester United |