Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:30 BST
Hannover 96
v VfL Bochum
The model's read
Hannover 96
50%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
VfL Bochum
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Hannover 96 or draw | 75.1% |
| Double chance VfL Bochum or draw | 49.8% |
| Double chance either team | 75.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% |
| Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals | 55.1% |
| VfL Bochum over 1.5 team goals | 35.8% |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 28.5% |
| VfL Bochum clean sheet | 15.8% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.5% · 2-1 9.6% · 2-0 7.7% · 1-0 7.3% · 1-2 6.5%
Model readiness. Hannover 96 has played 5 league games this season, VfL Bochum 5 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
VfL Bochum
- Both teams scored in 5 of VfL Bochum's last 6 away league games.
Recent form — Hannover 96
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep | L | 1-2 | 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | — |
| 04 Sep | D | 2-2 | Karlsruher SC (H) | — |
| 30 Aug | W | 1-0 | SV Darmstadt 98 (A) | 2.3 - 0.9 |
| 16 Aug | L | 0-1 | VfL Wolfsburg (H) | 1.2 - 1.7 |
| 09 Aug | L | 1-3 | Energie Cottbus (A) | 2.7 - 1.4 |
| 20 Mar | W | 1-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig (H) | 1.1 - 1.2 |
Recent form — VfL Bochum
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (H) | — |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Dynamo Dresden (A) | 1.4 - 1.8 |
| 28 Aug | L | 0-1 | VfL Osnabrück (H) | 1.4 - 0.4 |
| 14 Aug | W | 1-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig (A) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
| 07 Aug | L | 0-1 | Hertha BSC (H) | 1.0 - 0.6 |
| 14 Mar | D | 1-1 | Hertha BSC (A) | 0.6 - 1.3 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Hannover 96
+0.76
xG diff/game · 2.10 for, 1.33 against
VfL Bochum
+0.17
xG diff/game · 1.27 for, 1.10 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 5–8 | LDWLL |
| VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 4–4 | DWLWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-1-1 | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
| VfL Bochum | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2-0-0 | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 9 meetings: Hannover 96 4 wins, 3 draws, VfL Bochum 2 wins — 2.78 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 25 | Hannover 96 | 0-0 | VfL Bochum |