Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Hellas Verona carried the greater threat — shots 16–9, 6–2 on target, 10–5 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Hellas Verona or draw | 1.23 | 76.3% | +0.3 pts |
| Double chance Vicenza Virtus or draw | 1.90 | 49.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 74.5% | +0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hellas Verona | 1.37 | 67.9% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Vicenza Virtus | 2.90 | 32.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 76.3% | +1.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 53.5% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 32.7% | +0.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.66 | 56.1% | +0.6 pts |
| Hellas Verona over 1.5 team goals | 1.80 | 51.7% | +1.8 pts |
| Vicenza Virtus over 1.5 team goals | 3.00 | 31.0% | +0.4 pts |
| Hellas Verona clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Vicenza Virtus clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.64 · 1-0 7.64 · 2-1 7.91 · 2-0 9.46 · 0-0 11.21
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-20 08:04 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).