Fixture · Serie A · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 17:00 BST
Juventus
v Atalanta
The model's read
Juventus
52%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Atalanta
21%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Juventus or draw | 79.2% |
| Double chance Atalanta or draw | 48.5% |
| Double chance either team | 72.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.0% |
| Both teams to score | 48.7% |
| Juventus over 1.5 team goals | 46.6% |
| Atalanta over 1.5 team goals | 23.3% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 40.0% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 20.8% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.2% · 1-0 11.9% · 2-0 10.3% · 0-0 9.5% · 2-1 9.4%
Model readiness. Juventus has played 4 league games this season, Atalanta 4 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Juventus: another match 3d before (2026-09-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Juventus
- Only 0 of Juventus's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Atalanta
- Both teams scored in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Guglielmo Vicario has made 8 saves in 4 league games this season.
- Marco Carnesecchi has made 22 saves in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Juventus
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | L | 2-3 | Sassuolo (A) | 1.0 - 0.7 |
| 06 Sep | D | 1-1 | AC Milan (H) | 1.6 - 0.1 |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-0 | Parma (H) | 1.7 - 0.2 |
| 23 Aug | W | 1-0 | Frosinone (A) | 1.9 - 0.3 |
| 24 May | D | 2-2 | Torino (A) | 1.9 - 0.8 |
| 17 May | L | 0-2 | Fiorentina (H) | 2.0 - 0.5 |
Recent form — Atalanta
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | L | 1-2 | Cagliari (H) | 1.2 - 1.1 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-2 | AS Roma (A) | 0.7 - 3.0 |
| 31 Aug | W | 1-0 | Bologna (H) | 0.2 - 1.3 |
| 23 Aug | W | 2-1 | Sassuolo (H) | 0.7 - 2.7 |
| 22 May | D | 1-1 | Fiorentina (A) | 1.4 - 0.8 |
| 17 May | L | 0-1 | Bologna (H) | 0.8 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Juventus
+1.22
xG diff/game · 1.55 for, 0.33 against
Atalanta
-1.33
xG diff/game · 0.69 for, 2.02 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | Serie A | 2026/27 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1.75 | 6–4 | LDWW |
| Atalanta | Serie A | 2026/27 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 5–5 | LLWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Atalanta | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Juventus 3 wins, 5 draws, Atalanta 2 wins — 2.0 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 26 | Atalanta | 0-1 | Juventus |
| 27 Sep 25 | Juventus | 1-1 | Atalanta |