Mantova 2–2 Pisa
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Pisa carried the greater threat — shots 14–14, 3–5 on target, 10–11 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Mantova held 62% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Mantova or draw | 1.48 | 63.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Double chance Pisa or draw | 1.43 | 65.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.2% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Mantova | 1.92 | 48.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Pisa | 1.81 | 51.4% | +0.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 72.7% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 49.2% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.27 | 28.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.68 | 55.2% | +0.2 pts |
| Mantova over 1.5 team goals | 2.44 | 38.1% | +0.0 pts |
| Pisa over 1.5 team goals | 2.37 | 39.3% | +0.1 pts |
| Mantova clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +0.0 pts |
| Pisa clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.99 · 0-1 8.30 · 1-0 8.60 · 0-0 9.30 · 1-2 9.34
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-20 08:04 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).