Fixture · Championship · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 13:30 BST
Norwich
v Bolton
The model's read
Norwich
52%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
Bolton
22%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Norwich or draw | 77.5% |
| Double chance Bolton or draw | 48.0% |
| Double chance either team | 74.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.7% |
| Both teams to score | 56.7% |
| Norwich over 1.5 team goals | 53.1% |
| Bolton over 1.5 team goals | 30.3% |
| Norwich clean sheet | 33.1% |
| Bolton clean sheet | 16.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.1% · 2-1 9.8% · 1-0 8.8% · 2-0 8.8% · 0-0 6.7%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Norwich
- Norwich have conceded in each of their last 14 league games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Norwich's last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- M. Touré has scored 4 goals in 6 league games this season.
- V. Kovačević has made 16 saves in 7 league games this season.
- A. Brooks has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- T. Gale has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- S. Dalby has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- G. Bazunu has made 14 saves in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Norwich
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | L | 3-4 | Middlesbrough (A) | — |
| 09 Sep | W | 2-1 | Birmingham (H) | 1.0 - 1.6 |
| 05 Sep | W | 3-1 | Sheffield Utd (A) | 3.0 - 0.8 |
| 01 Sep | L | 0-1 | Stoke City (A) | 1.4 - 0.2 |
| 29 Aug | W | 4-1 | Burnley (H) | 2.3 - 1.4 |
| 22 Aug | L | 0-3 | Millwall (A) | 0.9 - 2.0 |
Recent form — Bolton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Cardiff (H) | — |
| 08 Sep | L | 2-3 | West Ham (H) | 1.6 - 2.2 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-4 | Millwall (A) | 0.9 - 2.6 |
| 01 Sep | L | 2-3 | Sheffield Utd (A) | 1.9 - 2.2 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 1.9 - 1.3 |
| 22 Aug | D | 0-0 | QPR (A) | 0.0 - 0.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Norwich
+0.66
xG diff/game · 1.90 for, 1.24 against
Bolton
-0.38
xG diff/game · 1.24 for, 1.62 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | Championship | 2026/27 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 1.286 | 13–13 | LWWLW |
| Bolton | Championship | 2026/27 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 1.0 | 7–12 | WLLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-1 | 2.3 / 1.3 | 0 |
| Bolton | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-1-2 | 0.7 / 2.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 8 meetings: Norwich 6 wins, 1 draws, Bolton 1 wins — 2.88 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.