Fixture · Serie A · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 14:00 BST
Parma
v Genoa
The model's read
Parma
31%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
Genoa
38%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Parma or draw | 62.0% |
| Double chance Genoa or draw | 69.1% |
| Double chance either team | 68.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.7% |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% |
| Parma over 1.5 team goals | 29.0% |
| Genoa over 1.5 team goals | 34.2% |
| Parma clean sheet | 29.8% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 34.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.6% · 0-0 11.5% · 0-1 11.1% · 1-0 9.6% · 1-2 8.0%
Model readiness. Parma has played 4 league games this season, Genoa 4 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Parma
- Parma are winless in their last 4 league games (D1 L3).
- Only 1 of Parma's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Genoa
- Genoa are winless in their last 9 league games (D3 L6).
- Only 1 of Genoa's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in only 1 of Genoa's last 6 away league games.
- Genoa have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Players in form
- Edoardo Corvi has made 16 saves in 4 league games this season.
- Justin Bijlow has made 13 saves in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Parma
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | L | 1-2 | Como (A) | 1.2 - 3.2 |
| 06 Sep | D | 1-1 | Monza (H) | 0.7 - 1.7 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-2 | Juventus (A) | 0.2 - 1.7 |
| 22 Aug | L | 0-1 | Cagliari (H) | 0.8 - 0.7 |
| 24 May | W | 1-0 | Sassuolo (H) | 1.1 - 0.9 |
| 17 May | L | 0-1 | Como (A) | 0.4 - 2.8 |
Recent form — Genoa
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Frosinone (H) | 1.9 - 1.9 |
| 04 Sep | L | 1-4 | Como (H) | 0.8 - 1.8 |
| 30 Aug | L | 0-1 | Lazio (A) | 0.6 - 1.6 |
| 22 Aug | L | 0-2 | Napoli (H) | 0.6 - 0.1 |
| 24 May | L | 0-1 | Lecce (A) | 0.7 - 1.4 |
| 17 May | L | 1-2 | AC Milan (H) | 1.3 - 1.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Parma
-1.10
xG diff/game · 0.73 for, 1.84 against
Genoa
-0.37
xG diff/game · 0.95 for, 1.32 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | Serie A | 2026/27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 2–6 | LDLL |
| Genoa | Serie A | 2026/27 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 2–8 | DLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-1-1 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 0 |
| Genoa | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 0.0 / 1.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Parma 4 wins, 3 draws, Genoa 3 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 26 | Parma | 0-0 | Genoa |
| 19 Oct 25 | Genoa | 0-0 | Parma |