Sabadell 3–1 Oviedo
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.33–1.10.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.3–1.1, shots 16–9 with 7–2 on target. Sabadell got into the box far more often (10 shots inside it to 3). Sabadell's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.3 xG, 7 of 16 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 3–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sabadell or draw | 1.27 | 73.7% | +3.5 pts |
| Double chance Oviedo or draw | 1.61 | 57.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.36 | 68.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sabadell | 1.53 | 61.0% | +4.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Oviedo | 2.39 | 39.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.54 | 60.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.65 | 35.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.32 | 17.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.14 | 43.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Sabadell over 1.5 team goals | 2.73 | 34.2% | +0.2 pts |
| Oviedo over 1.5 team goals | 4.03 | 23.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Sabadell clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +3.3 pts |
| Oviedo clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | +2.5 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.33 · 1-1 5.46 · 0-0 5.95 · 0-1 7.09 · 2-1 9.18
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-20 08:02 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).