Fixture · La Liga · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 20:00 BST
Valencia
v Real Sociedad
The model's read
Valencia
51%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Real Sociedad
22%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Valencia or draw | 78.2% |
| Double chance Real Sociedad or draw | 49.1% |
| Double chance either team | 72.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Valencia over 1.5 team goals | 47.6% |
| Real Sociedad over 1.5 team goals | 25.5% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 37.7% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 20.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.1% · 1-0 11.0% · 2-0 9.8% · 2-1 9.5% · 0-0 8.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Real Sociedad: another match 3d before (2026-09-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Players in form
- S. Dimitrievski has made 19 saves in 6 league games this season.
- Álex Remiro has made 19 saves in 6 league games this season.
- L. Sučić has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- J. Ochieng has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Valencia
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | W | 1-0 | Alaves (A) | — |
| 11 Sep | L | 0-1 | Sevilla (A) | 0.1 - 0.9 |
| 06 Sep | L | 0-5 | Barcelona (H) | 0.7 - 4.1 |
| 30 Aug | L | 1-3 | Deportivo La Coruna (A) | 1.3 - 1.4 |
| 25 Aug | L | 0-1 | Real Betis (H) | 1.2 - 0.7 |
| 22 Aug | D | 0-0 | Celta Vigo (H) | 0.6 - 0.7 |
Recent form — Real Sociedad
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | L | 0-3 | Atletico Madrid (H) | 0.3 - 2.0 |
| 07 Sep | W | 3-2 | Elche (A) | 0.6 - 2.5 |
| 03 Sep | D | 0-0 | Celta Vigo (H) | 1.1 - 0.4 |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-1 | Espanyol (H) | 1.8 - 0.8 |
| 26 Aug | L | 1-4 | Real Madrid (A) | 0.6 - 3.1 |
| 21 Aug | L | 0-1 | Real Betis (A) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Valencia
-0.79
xG diff/game · 0.77 for, 1.56 against
Real Sociedad
-0.68
xG diff/game · 0.95 for, 1.63 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | La Liga | 2026/27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0.667 | 2–10 | WLLLL |
| Real Sociedad | La Liga | 2026/27 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.167 | 6–11 | LWDWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-1-2 | 0.0 / 2.0 | 1 |
| Real Sociedad | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 1-0-2 | 1.3 / 2.3 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Valencia 3 wins, 4 draws, Real Sociedad 3 wins — 1.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 26 | Real Sociedad | 3-4 | Valencia |
| 16 Aug 25 | Valencia | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |