Fixture · La Liga · Sun 20 Sep 2026, 17:30 BST
Villarreal
v Levante
The model's read
Villarreal
47%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Levante
28%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Villarreal or draw | 72.2% |
| Double chance Levante or draw | 53.1% |
| Double chance either team | 74.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.8% |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Villarreal over 1.5 team goals | 53.1% |
| Levante over 1.5 team goals | 38.5% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Levante clean sheet | 16.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.6% · 2-1 9.4% · 2-0 7.0% · 1-2 7.0% · 1-0 6.9%
Model readiness. Villarreal has played 6 league games this season, Levante 5 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Villarreal: another match 3d before (2026-09-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Villarreal
- Villarreal have lost their last 3 league games.
- Villarreal are winless in their last 5 league games (D2 L3).
- Villarreal have conceded in each of their last 19 league games.
- 6 of Villarreal's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Players in form
- N. Pépé has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Gerard Moreno has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- P. Gulácsi has made 10 saves in 5 league games this season.
- M. Ryan has made 19 saves in 5 league games this season.
- Brugui has scored 3 goals in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Villarreal
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | L | 1-2 | Real Betis (H) | 1.9 - 3.5 |
| 08 Sep | L | 2-3 | Borussia Dortmund (A) | 1.3 - 2.8 |
| 05 Sep | L | 2-3 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 1.1 - 0.8 |
| 28 Aug | L | 0-1 | Alaves (A) | 1.3 - 0.8 |
| 23 Aug | D | 2-2 | Atletico Madrid (A) | 3.1 - 0.7 |
| 16 Aug | D | 2-2 | Racing Santander (A) | 0.9 - 2.0 |
Recent form — Levante
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | L | 2-4 | Barcelona (H) | 2.4 - 2.6 |
| 06 Sep | D | 0-0 | Malaga (A) | 0.8 - 1.5 |
| 29 Aug | W | 5-2 | Real Betis (H) | 2.8 - 1.9 |
| 24 Aug | D | 0-0 | Osasuna (A) | 1.3 - 0.7 |
| 16 Aug | L | 0-3 | Espanyol (A) | 0.3 - 1.6 |
| 23 May | L | 1-2 | Real Betis (A) | 2.3 - 1.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Villarreal
+0.11
xG diff/game · 1.66 for, 1.56 against
Levante
-0.12
xG diff/game · 1.52 for, 1.64 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | La Liga | 2026/27 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 7–10 | LLLDD |
| Levante | La Liga | 2026/27 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 7–9 | LDWDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 0 |
| Levante | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-2-1 | 0.0 / 1.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 9 meetings: Villarreal 6 wins, 1 draws, Levante 2 wins — 3.11 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May 26 | Villarreal | 5-1 | Levante |
| 18 Feb 26 | Levante | 0-1 | Villarreal |