Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Sabadell
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.51–0.38.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.5–0.4, shots 4–10 with 1–2 on target. Sabadell got into the box far more often (9 shots inside it to 1). A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3
- 1 Coke Carrillo (G)
- 2 P. Gavian (M)
- 3 K. Ribes (D)
- 4 S. M. Ndiaye (D)
- 5 H. Burcio (M)
- 9 A. Marin (F)
- 10 O. Marcos (F)
- 15 A. Kibet (F)
- 16 Adrià Capdevila (M)
- 20 A. Rodriguez (D)
- 23 G. Miller (M)
Bench: Ángel Arcos, Caio Barone, A. Davila Outerelo, H. Lopez, Joel López, P. Meixus, Alexis Olmedo, M. Gonzalez, Jorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey, David Sueiro Muiños
Sabadell 4-4-2
- 1 Diego Fuoli (G)
- 4 Miki Codina (D)
- 6 Edgar González (D)
- 7 Ton Ripoll (M)
- 8 Pere Pons (M)
- 12 Gastón Valles (F)
- 14 Óscar Sanz (D)
- 20 Urri (M)
- 22 Q. Liameed (M)
- 23 J. Priego (F)
- 27 José Luis Català (D)
Bench: Pipa, Javi López, Ángel Baena, Eneko Aguilar, N. Obolskiy, J. Ortega, Y. Rahmani, Alain Ribeiro, Marc Vidal
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Celta de Vigo II or draw | 1.68 | 55.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Double chance Sabadell or draw | 1.29 | 72.3% | +1.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Celta de Vigo II | 2.38 | 39.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sabadell | 1.54 | 60.8% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 72.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 47.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.45 | 27.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.76 | 52.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Celta de Vigo II over 1.5 team goals | 2.99 | 31.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Sabadell over 1.5 team goals | 2.14 | 43.6% | +0.3 pts |
| Celta de Vigo II clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
| Sabadell clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.83 · 0-1 6.80 · 1-2 8.18 · 1-0 9.03 · 0-0 9.15
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).