Leganes 0–2 Castellón
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Castellón carried the greater threat — shots 15–20, 2–6 on target, 7–10 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Leganes or draw | 1.63 | 57.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Double chance Castellón or draw | 1.33 | 70.4% | +2.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.1% | +0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Leganes | 2.24 | 41.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Castellón | 1.60 | 58.4% | +3.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 74.8% | +0.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 50.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 29.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.65 | 56.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Leganes over 1.5 team goals | 2.63 | 35.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Castellón over 1.5 team goals | 2.08 | 44.8% | +1.6 pts |
| Leganes clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Castellón clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +3.5 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.90 · 0-1 7.77 · 1-2 8.32 · 1-0 9.41 · 2-1 10.23
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-28 18:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 26 | Castellón | 2-0 | Leganes |
| 29 Sep 25 | Leganes | 0-1 | Castellón |