Fixture · Ligue 1 · Fri 09 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST
Lens
v Lyon
The model's read
Lens
51%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Lyon
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Lens or draw | 74.9% |
| Double chance Lyon or draw | 49.4% |
| Double chance either team | 75.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.1% |
| Both teams to score | 63.1% |
| Lens over 1.5 team goals | 56.9% |
| Lyon over 1.5 team goals | 37.5% |
| Lens clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Lyon clean sheet | 14.8% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.0% · 2-1 9.6% · 2-0 7.3% · 1-0 6.7% · 1-2 6.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Lens: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Lens
- Lens are winless in their last 4 league games (D1 L3).
- Lens have averaged 2.3 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Lyon
- Lyon are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (W3 D2).
- Lyon have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- F. Thauvin has scored 3 goals in 5 league games this season.
- R. Risser has made 16 saves in 5 league games this season.
- F. Ivanović has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- D. Greif has made 19 saves in 6 league games this season.
- E. Nuamah has scored 3 goals in 6 league games this season.
- Z. Athekame has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Lens
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | L | 1-2 | Monaco (A) | — |
| 13 Sep | D | 2-2 | Le Mans (A) | 1.6 - 2.6 |
| 10 Sep | W | 3-2 | Slavia Praha (A) | — |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lorient (H) | 1.2 - 1.6 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | Strasbourg (A) | 2.9 - 1.7 |
| 22 Aug | W | 5-2 | Auxerre (H) | 4.5 - 1.8 |
Recent form — Lyon
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | W | 4-0 | Rennes (H) | — |
| 16 Sep | W | 2-1 | Anderlecht (A) | 1.3 - 1.4 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Paris FC (A) | 0.5 - 0.3 |
| 04 Sep | W | 3-1 | Auxerre (H) | 2.9 - 0.7 |
| 29 Aug | D | 1-1 | Le Havre (H) | 1.6 - 0.7 |
| 26 Aug | L | 1-2 | Fenerbahçe (H) | — |
Chance quality, most recent season
Lens
+0.64
xG diff/game · 2.55 for, 1.91 against
Lyon
+0.21
xG diff/game · 1.28 for, 1.07 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 9–9 | LDLLW |
| Lyon | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | 6–2 | DWDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 2.5 / 1.5 | 0 |
| Lyon | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Lens 5 wins, 3 draws, Lyon 2 wins — 2.6 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 26 | Lyon | 0-4 | Lens |
| 16 Aug 25 | Lens | 0-1 | Lyon |