Fixture · La Liga · Fri 09 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST
Malaga
v Espanyol
The model's read
Malaga
36%
match result
Draw
30%
match result
Espanyol
35%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Malaga or draw | 65.3% |
| Double chance Espanyol or draw | 64.4% |
| Double chance either team | 70.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.8% |
| Both teams to score | 51.8% |
| Malaga over 1.5 team goals | 35.6% |
| Espanyol over 1.5 team goals | 34.8% |
| Malaga clean sheet | 29.2% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 28.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.2% · 0-0 9.7% · 1-0 9.2% · 0-1 9.0% · 2-1 8.1%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Malaga
- Malaga are winless in their last 7 league games (D3 L4).
Players in form
- Alfonso Herrero has made 28 saves in 7 league games this season.
- Roberto Fernández has scored 6 goals in 7 league games this season.
- M. Dmitrović has made 19 saves in 7 league games this season.
- Javier Hernandez has 0 goals and 4 assists in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Malaga
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | L | 0-1 | Getafe (A) | — |
| 17 Sep | L | 1-3 | Villarreal (H) | 0.6 - 3.3 |
| 13 Sep | D | 1-1 | Celta Vigo (A) | 0.4 - 1.9 |
| 06 Sep | D | 0-0 | Levante (H) | 1.5 - 0.8 |
| 30 Aug | L | 0-4 | Real Madrid (A) | 0.7 - 2.3 |
| 24 Aug | D | 1-1 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 2.0 - 1.1 |
Recent form — Espanyol
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | L | 1-3 | Elche (H) | — |
| 15 Sep | L | 1-2 | Rayo Vallecano (A) | 1.5 - 1.5 |
| 12 Sep | W | 2-0 | Osasuna (A) | 1.4 - 1.1 |
| 06 Sep | D | 1-1 | Sevilla (H) | 1.2 - 0.5 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | Real Sociedad (A) | 0.8 - 1.8 |
| 22 Aug | L | 1-2 | Real Madrid (H) | 0.5 - 0.3 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Malaga
-0.83
xG diff/game · 0.89 for, 1.72 against
Espanyol
+0.25
xG diff/game · 1.16 for, 0.91 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | La Liga | 2026/27 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 3–11 | LDDLD |
| Espanyol | La Liga | 2026/27 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 1.0 | 10–10 | LLWDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-2-0 | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Espanyol | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 9 meetings: Malaga 0 wins, 2 draws, Espanyol 7 wins — 2.67 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.