Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST
1. FC Magdeburg
v Hannover 96
The model's read
1. FC Magdeburg
40%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Hannover 96
35%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Magdeburg or draw | 65.5% |
| Double chance Hannover 96 or draw | 59.9% |
| Double chance either team | 74.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.1% |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 team goals | 49.8% |
| Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals | 45.6% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet | 21.4% |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 18.8% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.4% · 2-1 8.7% · 1-2 8.0% · 2-2 6.7% · 1-0 5.7%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Players in form
- Alexander Nollenberger has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
- Dominik Reimann has made 12 saves in 2 league games this season.
- Barış Atik has 2 assists in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — 1. FC Magdeburg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | D | 1-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) | 1.1 - 1.1 |
| 06 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hertha BSC (A) | 0.9 - 1.3 |
| 30 Aug | W | 2-0 | Holstein Kiel (H) | 0.8 - 2.1 |
| 15 Aug | W | 3-0 | VfL Osnabrück (A) | 1.7 - 0.9 |
| 08 Aug | L | 1-6 | Eintracht Braunschweig (H) | 1.2 - 3.3 |
Recent form — Hannover 96
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | VfL Bochum (H) | — |
| 11 Sep | L | 1-2 | 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 1.3 - 2.1 |
| 04 Sep | D | 2-2 | Karlsruher SC (H) | 1.6 - 1.8 |
| 30 Aug | W | 1-0 | SV Darmstadt 98 (A) | 2.3 - 0.9 |
| 16 Aug | L | 0-1 | VfL Wolfsburg (H) | 1.2 - 1.7 |
| 09 Aug | L | 1-3 | Energie Cottbus (A) | 2.7 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
1. FC Magdeburg
-0.57
xG diff/game · 1.16 for, 1.73 against
Hannover 96
+0.25
xG diff/game · 1.83 for, 1.59 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 1.667 | 11–9 | DWLWW |
| Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 5–8 | LDWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2-0-1 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 2 |
| Hannover 96 | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-2 | 1.0 / 1.7 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: 1. FC Magdeburg 2 wins, 2 draws, Hannover 96 6 wins — 3.0 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 26 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-2 | Hannover 96 |
| 23 Aug 25 | Hannover 96 | 3-1 | 1. FC Magdeburg |