Fixture · La Liga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 BST
Barcelona
v Getafe
The model's read
Barcelona
79%
match result
Draw
15%
match result
Getafe
7%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Barcelona or draw | 93.2% |
| Double chance Getafe or draw | 21.4% |
| Double chance either team | 85.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.3% |
| Both teams to score | 48.9% |
| Barcelona over 1.5 team goals | 75.5% |
| Getafe over 1.5 team goals | 16.5% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 48.3% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 6.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 11.8% · 3-0 10.7% · 2-1 8.6% · 1-0 8.0% · 3-1 7.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Barcelona: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Barcelona
- Barcelona have won their last 7 league games.
- Barcelona have won 6 of their last 6 home league games.
- Barcelona have averaged 3.3 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Getafe
- Only 1 of Getafe's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have not scored in any of Getafe's last 6 away league games.
- Getafe have scored just 1 goal across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Raphinha has 12 goals and 3 assists in 7 league games this season.
- Lamine Yamal has 7 goals and 4 assists in 7 league games this season.
- Fermín has scored 4 goals in 7 league games this season.
- David Soria has made 23 saves in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Barcelona
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | W | 3-1 | Sevilla (A) | — |
| 16 Sep | W | 7-2 | Racing Santander (H) | 6.7 - 2.0 |
| 13 Sep | W | 4-2 | Levante (A) | 2.6 - 2.4 |
| 09 Sep | W | 5-1 | Feyenoord (H) | — |
| 06 Sep | W | 5-0 | Valencia (A) | 4.1 - 0.7 |
| 31 Aug | W | 5-2 | Rayo Vallecano (H) | 2.8 - 1.1 |
Recent form — Getafe
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | W | 1-0 | Malaga (H) | — |
| 17 Sep | L | 0-1 | Real Betis (A) | 0.3 - 1.9 |
| 13 Sep | D | 1-1 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 0.8 - 0.9 |
| 07 Sep | D | 1-1 | Celta Vigo (H) | 0.7 - 1.0 |
| 31 Aug | L | 0-1 | Osasuna (A) | 0.7 - 1.7 |
| 23 Aug | W | 1-0 | Racing Santander (H) | 1.2 - 1.0 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Barcelona
+2.86
xG diff/game · 4.04 for, 1.18 against
Getafe
-0.75
xG diff/game · 0.64 for, 1.39 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | La Liga | 2026/27 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 3.0 | 28–6 | WWWWW |
| Getafe | La Liga | 2026/27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 0.833 | 3–7 | LDDLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 2-0-0 | 3.5 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Getafe | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 0.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Barcelona 6 wins, 4 draws, Getafe 0 wins — 1.6 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 26 | Getafe | 0-2 | Barcelona |
| 21 Sep 25 | Barcelona | 3-0 | Getafe |