Bolton
v Stoke City
The model's read
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Bolton or draw | 68.7% |
| Double chance Stoke City or draw | 60.2% |
| Double chance either team | 71.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Bolton over 1.5 team goals | 40.0% |
| Stoke City over 1.5 team goals | 33.6% |
| Bolton clean sheet | 30.2% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 25.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.8% · 1-0 9.2% · 0-0 8.9% · 2-1 8.7% · 0-1 7.9%
Availability and rotation
Rotation risk — Bolton: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Rotation risk — Stoke City: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Stoke City
- Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (W4 D1).
Players in form
- T. Gale has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- S. Dalby has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- G. Bazunu has made 15 saves in 6 league games this season.
- V. Johansson has made 24 saves in 8 league games this season.
- E. Galbraith has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- E. Bocat has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Bolton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | W | 4-3 | Norwich (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Cardiff (H) | 0.5 - 1.8 |
| 08 Sep | L | 2-3 | West Ham (H) | 1.6 - 2.2 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-4 | Millwall (A) | 0.9 - 2.6 |
| 01 Sep | L | 2-3 | Sheffield Utd (A) | 1.9 - 2.2 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 1.9 - 1.3 |
Recent form — Stoke City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Sheffield Utd (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | W | 2-1 | Watford (A) | 1.5 - 0.4 |
| 08 Sep | D | 1-1 | Cardiff (A) | 0.8 - 2.9 |
| 05 Sep | W | 4-0 | Charlton (H) | 2.1 - 0.6 |
| 01 Sep | W | 1-0 | Norwich (H) | 0.2 - 1.4 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-4 | Wolves (A) | 0.8 - 2.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | Championship | 2026/27 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 1.0 | 7–12 | WLLLL |
| Stoke City | Championship | 2026/27 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 1.429 | 11–11 | WDWWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-2 | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1 |
| Stoke City | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.3 / 2.3 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings: Bolton 2 wins, 2 draws, Stoke City 3 wins — 2.43 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.