Fixture · Championship · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST
Charlton
v Bristol City
The model's read
Charlton
31%
match result
Draw
32%
match result
Bristol City
37%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Charlton or draw | 62.6% |
| Double chance Bristol City or draw | 68.9% |
| Double chance either team | 68.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.6% |
| Both teams to score | 46.3% |
| Charlton over 1.5 team goals | 28.3% |
| Bristol City over 1.5 team goals | 32.9% |
| Charlton clean sheet | 30.8% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 35.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.7% · 0-0 12.1% · 0-1 11.4% · 1-0 10.0% · 1-2 7.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Charlton: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Rotation risk — Bristol City: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Charlton
- Charlton are winless in their last 5 league games (D3 L2).
Bristol City
- 6 of Bristol City's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Bristol City's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- A. Okonkwo has made 19 saves in 7 league games this season.
- L. Jones has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Tyreece Campbell has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- Rio Cardines has 0 goals and 6 assists in 8 league games this season.
- D. Ballard has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- L. Tolaj has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Charlton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 1-3 | Cardiff (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Portsmouth (H) | 0.8 - 0.4 |
| 09 Sep | D | 0-0 | QPR (H) | 0.5 - 1.1 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-4 | Stoke City (A) | 0.6 - 2.1 |
| 02 Sep | D | 1-1 | West Brom (A) | 0.4 - 0.6 |
| 29 Aug | W | 1-0 | Preston (H) | 0.7 - 1.3 |
Recent form — Bristol City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | W | 1-0 | Watford (H) | — |
| 15 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 1.5 - 0.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-4 | Southampton (A) | 2.2 - 1.7 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Burnley (A) | 1.1 - 0.3 |
| 01 Sep | W | 3-1 | Preston (A) | 1.8 - 1.9 |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-1 | Portsmouth (H) | 0.6 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Charlton
-0.34
xG diff/game · 0.63 for, 0.97 against
Bristol City
-0.07
xG diff/game · 1.28 for, 1.35 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | Championship | 2026/27 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 1.714 | 6–7 | DDLDW |
| Bristol City | Championship | 2026/27 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 1.625 | 11–12 | WLLWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-2-0 | 0.8 / 0.3 | 3 |
| Bristol City | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 8 meetings: Charlton 3 wins, 2 draws, Bristol City 3 wins — 2.62 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr 26 | Charlton | 1-2 | Bristol City |
| 16 Aug 25 | Bristol City | 0-0 | Charlton |