FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · Championship · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST

Middlesbrough
v Wolves

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The model's read

Middlesbrough
53%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Wolves
22%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Middlesbrough or draw78.0%
Double chance Wolves or draw47.1%
Double chance either team74.8%
Over 1.5 goals80.0%
Over 2.5 goals56.0%
Over 3.5 goals33.6%
Both teams to score57.2%
Middlesbrough over 1.5 team goals54.2%
Wolves over 1.5 team goals30.4%
Middlesbrough clean sheet33.0%
Wolves clean sheet16.3%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.9% · 2-1 9.8% · 2-0 8.8% · 1-0 8.7% · 0-0 6.4%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Rotation risk — Middlesbrough: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).

Rotation risk — Wolves: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

Middlesbrough

  • Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 6 league games (W3 D3).
  • 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home league games.
  • Middlesbrough have averaged 2.7 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.

Wolves

  • Wolves are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).

Players in form

  • W. Lankshear has scored 6 goals in 8 league games this season.
  • R. Vítek has made 19 saves in 8 league games this season.
  • S. Berhalter has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
  • Fer López has scored 4 goals in 7 league games this season.
  • R. Jiménez has scored 3 goals in 6 league games this season.
  • M. Munetsi has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form — Middlesbrough

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
19 SepD2-2Birmingham (A)2.1 - 1.2
15 SepD2-2Millwall (H)1.5 - 1.7
12 SepW4-3Norwich (H)2.4 - 1.8
05 SepW1-0QPR (A)2.5 - 1.0
02 SepD1-1Burnley (A)1.2 - 0.6
29 AugW3-1West Brom (H)2.5 - 1.3

Recent form — Wolves

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
20 SepW1-0West Brom (H)—
13 SepW1-0Sheffield Utd (A)1.6 - 0.6
06 SepD2-2Birmingham (A)1.9 - 1.4
01 SepL2-4West Ham (A)0.9 - 2.0
29 AugW4-1Stoke City (H)2.7 - 0.8
22 AugW3-1Preston (A)0.6 - 0.1

Chance quality, most recent season

Middlesbrough
+0.77
xG diff/game · 1.89 for, 1.11 against
Wolves
+0.65
xG diff/game · 1.62 for, 0.98 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
MiddlesbroughChampionship2026/2737142.014–10DWWDW
WolvesChampionship2026/2786111.83314–10WDLWW

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
MiddlesbroughhomeChampionship2026/273-0-03.0 / 1.70
WolvesawayChampionship2026/271-1-12.3 / 2.30

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

Last 9 meetings: Middlesbrough 5 wins, 0 draws, Wolves 4 wins — 2.89 goals a game on average.

Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.