Fixture · Championship · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
Preston
v Millwall
The model's read
Preston
35%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
Millwall
39%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Preston or draw | 61.2% |
| Double chance Millwall or draw | 64.6% |
| Double chance either team | 74.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.4% |
| Both teams to score | 63.7% |
| Preston over 1.5 team goals | 45.2% |
| Millwall over 1.5 team goals | 47.8% |
| Preston clean sheet | 20.0% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 21.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.7% · 1-2 8.6% · 2-1 8.2% · 2-2 6.6% · 0-1 5.9%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Preston: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Rotation risk — Millwall: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Preston
- Preston are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Preston have conceded in each of their last 23 league games.
- Preston have lost 5 of their last 6 home league games.
Millwall
- Millwall are winless in their last 3 league games (D2 L1).
Players in form
- D. Iversen has made 24 saves in 8 league games this season.
- C. Lang has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- J. Kenny has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- L. Dykes has scored 4 goals in 8 league games this season.
- T. Arconte has scored 3 goals in 7 league games this season.
- C. Taylor has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Preston
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | QPR (A) | 1.5 - 2.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 0.6 - 0.7 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-2 | Watford (A) | 2.4 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Blackburn (H) | 2.2 - 1.1 |
| 01 Sep | L | 1-3 | Bristol City (H) | 1.9 - 1.8 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-1 | Charlton (A) | 1.3 - 0.7 |
Recent form — Millwall
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | West Ham (H) | — |
| 15 Sep | D | 2-2 | Middlesbrough (A) | 1.7 - 1.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-3 | Blackburn (A) | 1.7 - 1.2 |
| 05 Sep | W | 4-0 | Bolton (H) | 2.6 - 0.9 |
| 02 Sep | L | 0-3 | Wrexham (H) | 0.2 - 0.9 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-5 | Southampton (A) | 1.4 - 3.6 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Preston
+0.14
xG diff/game · 1.36 for, 1.22 against
Millwall
+0.42
xG diff/game · 1.80 for, 1.37 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | Championship | 2026/27 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0.429 | 6–13 | LLWLL |
| Millwall | Championship | 2026/27 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 1.429 | 13–13 | DLWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-0-3 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
| Millwall | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-0-2 | 1.3 / 2.7 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Preston 0 wins, 6 draws, Millwall 4 wins — 2.4 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 26 | Preston | 0-2 | Millwall |
| 08 Nov 25 | Millwall | 1-1 | Preston |