Fixture · Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 BST
RB Leipzig
v Eintracht Frankfurt
The model's read
RB Leipzig
51%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Eintracht Frankfurt
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance RB Leipzig or draw | 74.6% |
| Double chance Eintracht Frankfurt or draw | 48.7% |
| Double chance either team | 76.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.5% |
| Both teams to score | 66.1% |
| RB Leipzig over 1.5 team goals | 60.1% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 team goals | 40.5% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 24.9% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 13.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.2% · 2-1 9.4% · 2-0 6.7% · 2-2 6.5% · 1-2 6.4%
Model readiness. RB Leipzig has played 5 league games this season, Eintracht Frankfurt 4 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — RB Leipzig: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig have won 6 of their last 6 home league games.
- 5 of RB Leipzig's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- RB Leipzig have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home league games.
- RB Leipzig have averaged 3.2 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Both teams have scored in each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 12 league games.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded in each of their last 12 league games.
- 5 of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- M. Vandevoordt has made 16 saves in 4 league games this season.
- R. Baku has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- A. Nusa has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- N. Atubolu has made 21 saves in 4 league games this season.
- Y. Ebnoutalib has scored 4 goals in 4 league games this season.
- J. Burkardt has scored 3 goals in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — RB Leipzig
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | L | 0-2 | Bayer Leverkusen (A) | — |
| 13 Sep | W | 5-0 | Hamburger SV (H) | 2.4 - 1.1 |
| 10 Sep | L | 1-4 | Como (A) | — |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-3 | Werder Bremen (A) | 1.5 - 0.9 |
| 29 Aug | W | 3-0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) | 4.0 - 1.1 |
| 16 May | L | 1-4 | SC Freiburg (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
Recent form — Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | SC Freiburg (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-1 | FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 2.0 - 2.1 |
| 06 Sep | L | 1-4 | FC Augsburg (H) | 2.2 - 1.1 |
| 29 Aug | D | 3-3 | Union Berlin (A) | 1.5 - 1.8 |
| 16 May | D | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart (H) | 2.6 - 1.3 |
| 08 May | L | 2-3 | Borussia Dortmund (A) | 1.1 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
RB Leipzig
+1.58
xG diff/game · 2.63 for, 1.05 against
Eintracht Frankfurt
+0.21
xG diff/game · 1.91 for, 1.70 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 9–3 | WLW |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1.333 | 7–8 | WLD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-0 | 3.0 / 0.0 | 1 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: RB Leipzig 6 wins, 1 draws, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 wins — 3.6 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1-3 | RB Leipzig |
| 06 Dec 25 | RB Leipzig | 6-0 | Eintracht Frankfurt |