Watford
v Burnley
The model's read
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Watford or draw | 63.1% |
| Double chance Burnley or draw | 65.3% |
| Double chance either team | 71.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Both teams to score | 55.5% |
| Watford over 1.5 team goals | 37.7% |
| Burnley over 1.5 team goals | 39.3% |
| Watford clean sheet | 25.7% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 27.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.6% · 1-2 8.4% · 0-1 8.2% · 0-0 8.2% · 2-1 8.1%
Availability and rotation
Rotation risk — Watford: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Rotation risk — Burnley: another match 3d after (2026-10-13).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Watford
- Watford have conceded in each of their last 15 league games.
Burnley
- Burnley are winless in their last 8 league games (D4 L4).
- Both teams have scored in each of Burnley's last 8 league games.
- Burnley have conceded in each of their last 8 league games.
Players in form
- F. Ravaglia has made 28 saves in 8 league games this season.
- Amin Nabizada has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- M. Weiß has made 16 saves in 8 league games this season.
- Zian Flemming has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
- Z. Amdouni has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Watford
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | L | 0-1 | Bristol City (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-2 | Stoke City (H) | 0.4 - 1.5 |
| 08 Sep | W | 2-1 | Preston (H) | 1.3 - 2.4 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-1 | West Brom (A) | 1.3 - 1.1 |
| 01 Sep | L | 0-2 | Swansea (A) | 0.9 - 2.7 |
| 29 Aug | D | 1-1 | West Ham (H) | 1.6 - 0.9 |
Recent form — Burnley
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Derby (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-3 | Swansea (A) | 1.7 - 2.6 |
| 08 Sep | D | 1-1 | Wrexham (A) | 1.5 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-2 | Bristol City (H) | 0.3 - 1.1 |
| 02 Sep | D | 1-1 | Middlesbrough (H) | 0.6 - 1.2 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-4 | Norwich (A) | 1.4 - 2.3 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Championship | 2026/27 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 7–10 | LLWLL |
| Burnley | Championship | 2026/27 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0.429 | 8–16 | LDLDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 1.5 / 1.3 | 0 |
| Burnley | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-1-3 | 1.0 / 2.8 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Watford 2 wins, 3 draws, Burnley 5 wins — 2.0 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.