Fixture · Bundesliga · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 14:30 BST
1. FC Köln
v Borussia Mönchengladbach
The model's read
1. FC Köln
51%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
26%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Köln or draw | 74.1% |
| Double chance Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw | 49.1% |
| Double chance either team | 76.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.8% |
| Both teams to score | 67.2% |
| 1. FC Köln over 1.5 team goals | 60.7% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 team goals | 41.8% |
| 1. FC Köln clean sheet | 23.9% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 12.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 9.9% · 2-1 9.3% · 2-2 6.6% · 2-0 6.5% · 1-2 6.5%
Model readiness. 1. FC Köln has played 4 league games this season, Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
1. FC Köln
- 1. FC Köln are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Both teams have scored in each of 1. FC Köln's last 14 league games.
- 1. FC Köln have conceded in each of their last 18 league games.
- 5 of 1. FC Köln's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost their last 4 league games.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D2 L4).
Players in form
- T. Dallinga has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- M. Schwäbe has made 15 saves in 4 league games this season.
- E. Skhiri has 2 assists in 4 league games this season.
- M. Nicolas has made 22 saves in 4 league games this season.
- H. Bolin has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- L. Ullrich has 2 assists in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — 1. FC Köln
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hamburger SV (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Werder Bremen (H) | 1.6 - 1.1 |
| 04 Sep | L | 1-4 | VfB Stuttgart (A) | 2.9 - 3.5 |
| 29 Aug | W | 3-2 | 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1.9 - 1.9 |
| 16 May | L | 1-5 | Bayern München (A) | 1.0 - 3.0 |
| 10 May | L | 1-3 | 1. FC Heidenheim (H) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
Recent form — Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 3-4 | FSV Mainz 05 (H) | 3.2 - 2.8 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-5 | SC Freiburg (A) | 0.2 - 2.6 |
| 05 Sep | L | 3-4 | SV Elversberg (H) | 2.4 - 2.3 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-3 | RB Leipzig (A) | 1.1 - 4.0 |
| 16 May | W | 4-0 | 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1.2 - 1.6 |
| 09 May | L | 1-3 | FC Augsburg (A) | 1.1 - 2.6 |
Chance quality, most recent season
1. FC Köln
-0.00
xG diff/game · 2.15 for, 2.16 against
Borussia Mönchengladbach
-1.20
xG diff/game · 1.72 for, 2.92 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1.333 | 5–7 | DLW |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 3–12 | LLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 2.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 0.0 / 4.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: 1. FC Köln 4 wins, 3 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 wins — 4.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 26 | 1. FC Köln | 3-3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 08 Nov 25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3-1 | 1. FC Köln |