Fixture · Serie A · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST
Cagliari
v Juventus
The model's read
Cagliari
21%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
Juventus
50%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Cagliari or draw | 50.2% |
| Double chance Juventus or draw | 78.8% |
| Double chance either team | 71.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.1% |
| Both teams to score | 46.3% |
| Cagliari over 1.5 team goals | 22.0% |
| Juventus over 1.5 team goals | 43.3% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 22.9% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 41.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.6% · 0-1 12.8% · 0-0 10.7% · 0-2 10.3% · 1-2 9.1%
Model readiness. Cagliari has played 5 league games this season, Juventus 6 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Cagliari
- Cagliari have won their last 3 league games.
Juventus
- Juventus have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Elia Caprile has made 19 saves in 5 league games this season.
- Daniel Maldini has scored 3 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Gleison Bremer has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Edon Zhegrova has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- Guglielmo Vicario has made 9 saves in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Cagliari
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | W | 1-0 | Udinese (A) | 1.1 - 1.9 |
| 12 Sep | W | 2-1 | Atalanta (A) | 1.1 - 1.2 |
| 07 Sep | W | 1-0 | Lecce (H) | 1.6 - 0.5 |
| 30 Aug | L | 0-1 | Inter (H) | 0.5 - 3.8 |
| 22 Aug | W | 1-0 | Parma (A) | 0.7 - 0.8 |
| 24 May | W | 2-1 | AC Milan (A) | 2.8 - 1.7 |
Recent form — Juventus
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | W | 2-0 | Atalanta (H) | 1.3 - 0.6 |
| 17 Sep | W | 5-0 | NEC Nijmegen (H) | — |
| 13 Sep | L | 2-3 | Sassuolo (A) | 1.0 - 0.7 |
| 06 Sep | D | 1-1 | AC Milan (H) | 1.6 - 0.1 |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-0 | Parma (H) | 1.7 - 0.2 |
| 23 Aug | W | 1-0 | Frosinone (A) | 1.9 - 0.3 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Cagliari
-0.64
xG diff/game · 1.00 for, 1.64 against
Juventus
+1.11
xG diff/game · 1.50 for, 0.39 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | Serie A | 2026/27 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.25 | 4–2 | WWLW |
| Juventus | Serie A | 2026/27 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1.75 | 6–4 | LDWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Juventus | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-0-0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Cagliari 1 wins, 2 draws, Juventus 7 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | Cagliari | 1-0 | Juventus |
| 29 Nov 25 | Juventus | 2-1 | Cagliari |