Fixture · Serie A · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 BST
Como
v AS Roma
The model's read
Como
33%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
AS Roma
40%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Como or draw | 59.6% |
| Double chance AS Roma or draw | 66.9% |
| Double chance either team | 73.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.3% |
| Both teams to score | 61.4% |
| Como over 1.5 team goals | 41.4% |
| AS Roma over 1.5 team goals | 47.0% |
| Como clean sheet | 20.5% |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 24.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.3% · 1-2 8.8% · 2-1 7.9% · 0-1 6.8% · 2-2 6.3%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Como: another match 3d after (2026-10-14).
Rotation risk — AS Roma: another match 3d after (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Como
- Como have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
- Como have averaged 2.2 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
AS Roma
- AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 12 league games (W10 D2).
- AS Roma have won 5 of their last 6 away league games.
- AS Roma have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 away league games.
- AS Roma have averaged 2.5 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Martin Baturina has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Anastasios Douvikas has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Assane Diao has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Paulo Dybala is averaging a 8.0 match rating over 5 league games this season.
- Donyell Malen has scored 6 goals in 5 league games this season.
- Manu Koné has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Como
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | L | 0-2 | Frosinone (A) | 2.2 - 2.0 |
| 14 Sep | W | 2-1 | Parma (H) | 3.2 - 1.2 |
| 10 Sep | W | 4-1 | RB Leipzig (H) | — |
| 04 Sep | W | 4-1 | Genoa (A) | 1.8 - 0.8 |
| 30 Aug | W | 2-1 | Napoli (A) | 1.0 - 1.4 |
| 22 Aug | D | 1-1 | Udinese (A) | 1.5 - 2.0 |
Recent form — AS Roma
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Inter (H) | 1.7 - 2.4 |
| 14 Sep | W | 2-0 | Torino (A) | 1.9 - 0.8 |
| 10 Sep | D | 1-1 | Fenerbahçe (A) | — |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Atalanta (H) | 3.0 - 0.7 |
| 31 Aug | W | 4-0 | Lecce (A) | 3.2 - 0.7 |
| 24 Aug | W | 4-0 | Fiorentina (H) | 2.7 - 0.2 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Como
+0.49
xG diff/game · 1.95 for, 1.46 against
AS Roma
+1.54
xG diff/game · 2.51 for, 0.96 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | Serie A | 2026/27 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 9–4 | WWWD |
| AS Roma | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 12–1 | WWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-0-0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0 |
| AS Roma | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-0-0 | 4.0 / 0.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 4 meetings: Como 2 wins, 0 draws, AS Roma 2 wins — 2.25 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 26 | Como | 2-1 | AS Roma |
| 15 Dec 25 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Como |