Fixture · La Liga · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST
Racing Santander
v Valencia
The model's read
Racing Santander
48%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Valencia
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Racing Santander or draw | 74.7% |
| Double chance Valencia or draw | 52.4% |
| Double chance either team | 72.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.2% |
| Both teams to score | 55.1% |
| Racing Santander over 1.5 team goals | 47.9% |
| Valencia over 1.5 team goals | 30.8% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 32.7% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 20.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.9% · 2-1 9.5% · 1-0 9.3% · 2-0 8.5% · 0-0 7.7%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Racing Santander
- Racing Santander have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Players in form
- Julen Agirrezabala has made 30 saves in 7 league games this season.
- M. Zabiri has scored 6 goals in 7 league games this season.
- Iñigo Vicente has 2 assists in 7 league games this season.
- S. Dimitrievski has made 22 saves in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Racing Santander
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 0-5 | Celta Vigo (A) | 0.8 - 2.1 |
| 16 Sep | L | 2-7 | Barcelona (A) | 2.0 - 6.7 |
| 12 Sep | W | 2-1 | Alaves (H) | 2.0 - 2.0 |
| 05 Sep | L | 2-3 | Rayo Vallecano (A) | 0.5 - 1.6 |
| 28 Aug | W | 3-2 | Elche (H) | 1.5 - 1.0 |
| 23 Aug | L | 0-1 | Getafe (A) | 1.0 - 1.2 |
Recent form — Valencia
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | L | 2-3 | Real Sociedad (H) | — |
| 15 Sep | W | 1-0 | Alaves (A) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
| 11 Sep | L | 0-1 | Sevilla (A) | 0.1 - 0.9 |
| 06 Sep | L | 0-5 | Barcelona (H) | 0.7 - 4.1 |
| 30 Aug | L | 1-3 | Deportivo La Coruna (A) | 1.3 - 1.4 |
| 25 Aug | L | 0-1 | Real Betis (H) | 1.2 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Racing Santander
-0.83
xG diff/game · 1.39 for, 2.22 against
Valencia
-0.73
xG diff/game · 0.75 for, 1.47 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | La Liga | 2026/27 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 1.167 | 11–16 | LWLWL |
| Valencia | La Liga | 2026/27 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0.667 | 2–10 | WLLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 2-1-0 | 2.3 / 1.7 | 0 |
| Valencia | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 0.5 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 4 meetings: Racing Santander 0 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 2 wins — 3.5 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.