Fixture · La Liga · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 17:30 BST
Real Betis
v Osasuna
The model's read
Real Betis
50%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Osasuna
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Real Betis or draw | 75.2% |
| Double chance Osasuna or draw | 49.8% |
| Double chance either team | 75.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.2% |
| Both teams to score | 60.9% |
| Real Betis over 1.5 team goals | 54.9% |
| Osasuna over 1.5 team goals | 35.4% |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 28.8% |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 15.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.5% · 2-1 9.6% · 2-0 7.7% · 1-0 7.4% · 1-2 6.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Real Betis: another match 3d after (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Real Betis
- Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W3 D1).
- Real Betis have won 6 of their last 6 home league games.
- Real Betis have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home league games.
Osasuna
- Osasuna are winless in their last 4 league games (D1 L3).
- Osasuna have lost 5 of their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Álvaro Vallés has made 31 saves in 7 league games this season.
- Rodrigo Riquelme has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- C. Hernández has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- A. Budimir has scored 5 goals in 7 league games this season.
- Aitor Fernández has made 8 saves in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Real Betis
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | D | 1-1 | Deportivo La Coruna (A) | 0.8 - 2.1 |
| 17 Sep | W | 1-0 | Getafe (H) | 1.9 - 0.3 |
| 14 Sep | W | 2-1 | Villarreal (A) | 3.5 - 1.9 |
| 08 Sep | W | 3-2 | Lille (A) | 1.8 - 0.8 |
| 04 Sep | W | 1-0 | Real Madrid (H) | 0.9 - 3.5 |
| 29 Aug | L | 2-5 | Levante (A) | 1.9 - 2.8 |
Recent form — Osasuna
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Rayo Vallecano (H) | — |
| 16 Sep | L | 0-4 | Atletico Madrid (A) | 0.5 - 4.0 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-2 | Espanyol (H) | 1.1 - 1.4 |
| 06 Sep | L | 2-5 | Alaves (A) | 1.6 - 1.2 |
| 31 Aug | W | 1-0 | Getafe (H) | 1.7 - 0.7 |
| 27 Aug | W | 2-1 | Celta Vigo (A) | 2.7 - 0.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Real Betis
-0.34
xG diff/game · 1.53 for, 1.87 against
Osasuna
-0.08
xG diff/game · 1.37 for, 1.45 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | La Liga | 2026/27 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | 8–6 | WWWLW |
| Osasuna | La Liga | 2026/27 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.167 | 5–12 | LLLWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 2-0-0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2 |
| Osasuna | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Real Betis 6 wins, 3 draws, Osasuna 1 wins — 2.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 26 | Osasuna | 1-1 | Real Betis |
| 28 Sep 25 | Real Betis | 2-0 | Osasuna |