Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 16:15 BST
Rennes
v Auxerre
The model's read
Rennes
53%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Auxerre
23%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Rennes or draw | 77.5% |
| Double chance Auxerre or draw | 46.5% |
| Double chance either team | 76.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.7% |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% |
| Rennes over 1.5 team goals | 57.9% |
| Auxerre over 1.5 team goals | 34.1% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 29.8% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 14.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.0% · 2-1 9.8% · 2-0 8.1% · 1-0 7.3% · 3-1 6.3%
Model readiness. Rennes has played 6 league games this season, Auxerre 5 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Rennes
- Rennes have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- 5 of Rennes's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Rennes's last 6 home league games.
- Rennes have averaged 2.0 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Auxerre
- Both teams scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- E. Lepaul has scored 3 goals in 5 league games this season.
- B. Samba has made 15 saves in 4 league games this season.
- A. Thomasson has 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 league games this season.
- C. Archer has scored 3 goals in 3 league games this season.
- M. Diop has made 17 saves in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Rennes
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 0-4 | Lyon (A) | — |
| 16 Sep | D | 0-0 | Sturm Graz (A) | 1.8 - 0.7 |
| 11 Sep | W | 1-0 | Marseille (H) | 1.9 - 1.3 |
| 06 Sep | W | 2-1 | Angers (A) | 1.5 - 1.7 |
| 30 Aug | W | 3-2 | Le Mans (H) | 2.7 - 3.0 |
| 23 Aug | D | 2-2 | Paris Saint Germain (H) | 0.7 - 1.6 |
Recent form — Auxerre
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Stade Brestois 29 (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Nice (H) | 1.7 - 1.1 |
| 04 Sep | L | 1-3 | Lyon (A) | 0.7 - 2.9 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-3 | Angers (H) | 1.3 - 1.6 |
| 22 Aug | L | 2-5 | Lens (A) | 1.8 - 4.5 |
| 17 May | W | 2-0 | Lille (A) | 0.5 - 1.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Rennes
-0.19
xG diff/game · 1.71 for, 1.89 against
Auxerre
-1.12
xG diff/game · 1.38 for, 2.50 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 8–5 | WWWD |
| Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0.75 | 5–11 | WLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 2-1-0 | 2.0 / 1.3 | 1 |
| Auxerre | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 1.5 / 4.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Rennes 4 wins, 4 draws, Auxerre 2 wins — 2.1 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 26 | Auxerre | 0-3 | Rennes |
| 19 Oct 25 | Rennes | 2-2 | Auxerre |