FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · La Liga · Mon 12 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST

Levante
v Sevilla

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The model's read

Levante
50%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
Sevilla
22%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Levante or draw78.5%
Double chance Sevilla or draw50.1%
Double chance either team71.4%
Over 1.5 goals70.5%
Over 2.5 goals43.1%
Over 3.5 goals22.2%
Both teams to score47.5%
Levante over 1.5 team goals44.2%
Sevilla over 1.5 team goals22.9%
Levante clean sheet40.4%
Sevilla clean sheet22.3%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.5% · 1-0 12.3% · 0-0 10.3% · 2-0 10.1% · 2-1 9.2%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

Levante

  • Levante are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
  • Levante have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
  • Levante have averaged 2.5 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.

Players in form

  • M. Ryan has made 22 saves in 6 league games this season.
  • Brugui has scored 3 goals in 5 league games this season.
  • Iván Romero has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
  • O. Vlachodimos has made 20 saves in 7 league games this season.
  • M. Sierra has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form — Levante

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
20 SepL1-3Villarreal (A)0.5 - 4.3
13 SepL2-4Barcelona (H)2.4 - 2.6
06 SepD0-0Malaga (A)0.8 - 1.5
29 AugW5-2Real Betis (H)2.8 - 1.9
24 AugD0-0Osasuna (A)1.3 - 0.7
16 AugL0-3Espanyol (A)0.3 - 1.6

Recent form — Sevilla

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
19 SepL1-3Barcelona (H)0.4 - 3.5
16 SepW1-0Deportivo La Coruna (A)0.7 - 0.1
11 SepW1-0Valencia (H)0.9 - 0.1
06 SepD1-1Espanyol (A)0.5 - 1.2
29 AugL1-3Atletico Madrid (H)1.0 - 0.9
22 AugW3-1Athletic Club (A)0.0 - 0.0

Chance quality, most recent season

Levante
-0.74
xG diff/game · 1.34 for, 2.07 against
Sevilla
-0.29
xG diff/game · 0.84 for, 1.13 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
LevanteLa Liga2026/2715551.07–9LDWDL
SevillaLa Liga2026/2756132.1679–6WWDLW

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
LevantehomeLa Liga2026/271-0-05.0 / 2.00
SevillaawayLa Liga2026/271-1-02.0 / 1.00

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings: Levante 2 wins, 1 draws, Sevilla 7 wins — 3.2 goals a game on average.

DateHomeScoreAway
23 Apr 26Levante2-0Sevilla
04 Jan 26Sevilla0-3Levante