Fixture · Championship · Tue 13 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST
Birmingham
v Preston
The model's read
Birmingham
48%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Preston
26%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Birmingham or draw | 73.7% |
| Double chance Preston or draw | 51.6% |
| Double chance either team | 74.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.8% |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Birmingham over 1.5 team goals | 53.4% |
| Preston over 1.5 team goals | 36.6% |
| Birmingham clean sheet | 27.8% |
| Preston clean sheet | 16.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.7% · 2-1 9.5% · 2-0 7.4% · 1-0 7.3% · 1-2 6.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Birmingham: another match 3d after (2026-10-17).
Rotation risk — Preston: another match 3d after (2026-10-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Birmingham
- Both teams have scored in each of Birmingham's last 7 league games.
- 5 of Birmingham's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Birmingham's last 6 home league games.
- Birmingham have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Preston
- Preston are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Preston have conceded in each of their last 23 league games.
- 5 of Preston's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Preston's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- J. Beadle has made 21 saves in 8 league games this season.
- P. Neumann has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Carlos Vicente has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- D. Iversen has made 24 saves in 8 league games this season.
- C. Lang has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- J. Kenny has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Birmingham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Middlesbrough (H) | 1.2 - 2.1 |
| 12 Sep | W | 2-1 | Derby (A) | 3.2 - 1.1 |
| 09 Sep | L | 1-2 | Norwich (A) | 1.6 - 1.0 |
| 06 Sep | D | 2-2 | Wolves (H) | 1.4 - 1.9 |
| 01 Sep | D | 1-1 | Southampton (H) | 1.6 - 1.0 |
| 28 Aug | W | 2-1 | Wrexham (A) | 1.9 - 1.4 |
Recent form — Preston
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | QPR (A) | 1.5 - 2.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 0.6 - 0.7 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-2 | Watford (A) | 2.4 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Blackburn (H) | 2.2 - 1.1 |
| 01 Sep | L | 1-3 | Bristol City (H) | 1.9 - 1.8 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-1 | Charlton (A) | 1.3 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Birmingham
+0.24
xG diff/game · 1.52 for, 1.28 against
Preston
+0.14
xG diff/game · 1.36 for, 1.22 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | Championship | 2026/27 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 1.429 | 10–9 | WLDDW |
| Preston | Championship | 2026/27 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0.429 | 6–13 | LLWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-3-0 | 1.7 / 1.7 | 0 |
| Preston | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-0-3 | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Birmingham 5 wins, 2 draws, Preston 3 wins — 1.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 26 | Birmingham | 2-1 | Preston |
| 21 Oct 25 | Preston | 0-1 | Birmingham |