Fixture · Championship · Tue 13 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST
Bristol City
v Blackburn
The model's read
Bristol City
47%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Blackburn
24%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Bristol City or draw | 75.9% |
| Double chance Blackburn or draw | 52.5% |
| Double chance either team | 71.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% |
| Both teams to score | 50.6% |
| Bristol City over 1.5 team goals | 44.4% |
| Blackburn over 1.5 team goals | 26.7% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 36.5% |
| Blackburn clean sheet | 22.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.5% · 1-0 11.0% · 0-0 9.3% · 2-1 9.2% · 2-0 9.2%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Bristol City: another match 3d after (2026-10-17).
Rotation risk — Blackburn: another match 3d after (2026-10-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Blackburn
- 5 of Blackburn's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in each of Blackburn's last 4 league games.
Players in form
- Rio Cardines has 0 goals and 6 assists in 8 league games this season.
- D. Ballard has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- L. Tolaj has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- O. Afolayan has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- A. Guðjohnsen has scored 3 goals in 7 league games this season.
- R. Morishita has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Bristol City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | W | 1-0 | Watford (H) | — |
| 15 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 1.5 - 0.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-4 | Southampton (A) | 2.2 - 1.7 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Burnley (A) | 1.1 - 0.3 |
| 01 Sep | W | 3-1 | Preston (A) | 1.8 - 1.9 |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-1 | Portsmouth (H) | 0.6 - 1.4 |
Recent form — Blackburn
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Portsmouth (A) | 0.6 - 1.6 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-1 | Millwall (H) | 1.2 - 1.7 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-2 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 1.6 - 0.5 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-2 | Preston (A) | 1.1 - 2.2 |
| 01 Sep | D | 0-0 | Lincoln (A) | 0.2 - 1.5 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | QPR (H) | 0.9 - 1.3 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Bristol City
-0.07
xG diff/game · 1.28 for, 1.35 against
Blackburn
-0.52
xG diff/game · 0.89 for, 1.41 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Championship | 2026/27 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 1.625 | 11–12 | WLLWW |
| Blackburn | Championship | 2026/27 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1.143 | 10–10 | WLLDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
| Blackburn | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-2-1 | 1.0 / 1.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Bristol City 5 wins, 2 draws, Blackburn 3 wins — 2.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 26 | Blackburn | 1-2 | Bristol City |
| 04 Nov 25 | Bristol City | 0-1 | Blackburn |