Cardiff
v Watford
The model's read
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Cardiff or draw | 77.5% |
| Double chance Watford or draw | 47.9% |
| Double chance either team | 74.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.2% |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% |
| Cardiff over 1.5 team goals | 53.5% |
| Watford over 1.5 team goals | 30.7% |
| Cardiff clean sheet | 32.8% |
| Watford clean sheet | 16.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.0% · 2-1 9.8% · 2-0 8.8% · 1-0 8.7% · 0-0 6.6%
Availability and rotation
Rotation risk — Cardiff: another match 3d after (2026-10-17).
Rotation risk — Watford: another match 3d after (2026-10-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Cardiff
- Cardiff have conceded in each of their last 8 league games.
Watford
- Watford have conceded in each of their last 15 league games.
- Watford have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D1 L5).
- Watford have scored just 2 goals across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- N. Trott has made 27 saves in 8 league games this season.
- J. Moylan has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Cian Ashford has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- F. Ravaglia has made 28 saves in 8 league games this season.
- Amin Nabizada has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Cardiff
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | W | 3-1 | Charlton (H) | 2.6 - 1.3 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-1 | Bolton (A) | 1.8 - 0.5 |
| 08 Sep | D | 1-1 | Stoke City (H) | 2.9 - 0.8 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-2 | Portsmouth (A) | 1.4 - 2.1 |
| 02 Sep | L | 1-2 | QPR (A) | 0.6 - 2.1 |
| 29 Aug | D | 2-2 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 2.2 - 1.3 |
Recent form — Watford
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | L | 0-1 | Bristol City (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-2 | Stoke City (H) | 0.4 - 1.5 |
| 08 Sep | W | 2-1 | Preston (H) | 1.3 - 2.4 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-1 | West Brom (A) | 1.3 - 1.1 |
| 01 Sep | L | 0-2 | Swansea (A) | 0.9 - 2.7 |
| 29 Aug | D | 1-1 | West Ham (H) | 1.6 - 0.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | Championship | 2026/27 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 0.571 | 7–11 | LDLLD |
| Watford | Championship | 2026/27 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 7–10 | LLWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-3-0 | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0 |
| Watford | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-1-2 | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Cardiff 4 wins, 2 draws, Watford 4 wins — 3.0 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.